Part 2 / The answer
Chapter 06
Four later candidates, and where they land
Evidence lens
All evidence shown. Unlabelled context stays visible.
In one paragraph. Two further rounds of research generated new candidates after the ranking above was set. None displaces the top category, but two change how it would be built, and one is a new entry near the top pending a single legal answer.
| Candidate | Where it lands | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Koji biomass on food-grade side streams | Enters at or near the top, pending one legal answer | The only candidate that plausibly avoids the novel food gap entirely. Proven organism, proven substrate, existing Vietnamese practice, 30 to 40 percent protein. Carries a strain-safety burden: see 7.2 |
| Duckweed on aquaculture effluent, fed back into aquafeed | Enters as a near-term feed candidate, roughly alongside the top category | The only candidate needing no fermentation tank. Thirty years of Vietnamese research, the highest protein yield per hectare in the study, and an existing nutrient stream at industrial scale. Feed only. Effluent-grown duckweed accumulates heavy metals and pathogens; food-grade duckweed needs closed cultivation on clean water and is a different business |
| Brewer's spent grain as substrate | Joins cassava pulp as a primary feedstock | Already protein-rich, concentrated at four brewery groups, large volume. Same constraint that it must be used where it is made |
| A working feed registration pathway | Not a candidate, an unlock | Raises everything aimed at feed by removing the regulatory unknown. Larger than it looked: the timeline is undocumented, not merely unconfirmed |
| Okara, the residue from making tofu and soy milk | Secondary feedstock | Real and large, but scattered across many small producers, and it recovers imported protein rather than displacing imports |
| Cultivated fish and shrimp cells | Stays last as an industry; enters as a research contribution | No food-grade production lines exist for the relevant species, though research lines do. Reframed, not promoted |
| Purple non-sulfur bacteria | Does not enter as a protein route | Productivity sits well below fungal systems; better understood as a wastewater technology with a saleable by-product |
| Methanotrophs on biogas | Unresolved | The search for this line failed to complete, which is not a negative result |
The full assessment of duckweed is in chapter 11, and of the others in chapters 8 and 13.