Draft for review, version 0.6. Not for citation.This report is a draft and subject to change.
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Frequently asked questions

Short answers to the questions people ask most about this draft report, about alternative protein, about Vietnam's prospects and about using the report and its data, with links to the pages that give the full answer.

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  1. About this report
  2. About alternative protein
  3. About Vietnam
  4. Using the report

About this report

What is this report? A scoping study of what Vietnam could produce in alternative protein for food and animal feed, from which raw materials, under which rules, at what cost and with whose money; who would buy it; how things might look in 2035 and 2050; and what each type of actor could do next. It is published by AltProtein Vietnam, with its data and models (Home).

Who is it for? Investors, policy makers, startups, food and feed manufacturers, universities and research institutes, and international organisations. Each has a short brief; the list is on the Home.

Why is it a draft, and what is version 1.0? This is version 0.6, shared for review. Numbers and wording may still change, so please do not cite it. Version 1.0 will be the public launch. Every change between drafts is recorded in M5. Changelog.

Why is it called a supply-side study when it also covers demand? The question it started from is what Vietnam can make. Demand is treated as a design input for that question: who would buy, at what price and in what form. The report does not plan consumer marketing and gives no market-size forecast (How to read).

How was it researched? By AltProtein Vietnam, with AI research assistants organised as parallel research streams, each with a written brief, a shared protocol and its own source prefix. The work ran in ten rounds of desk research, plus a retail audit of 186 products in Nha Trang and Ho Chi Minh City and a check against the published priorities of 80 named actors. Independent review passes re-checked the headline numbers before each version. No interviews or workshops have been held yet (M1. Method).

How reliable are the numbers? Every claim carries a label for where the evidence comes from (Vietnam itself, a comparable country, or global) and how strong it is (High, Medium or Low). Numbers we calculated say so. Where sources disagree, we give both and never average them (R2. Disagreements). The weakest numbers are prices nobody publishes, such as delivered soy flour, and costs of plants that do not yet exist in Vietnam (Unknowns).

Can I reuse the data? The data behind the chapters (184 tables, 2,384 sources and two reproducible models) are part of the package. The licence will be set before version 1.0; until then, please ask AltProtein Vietnam before reusing them.

How do I send a correction or comment? Send it to AltProtein Vietnam through the contact who shared this draft with you. Please give the page, the sentence and your source.

About alternative protein

What is alternative protein? Protein for food or feed made from plants, fungi, microbes, algae, insects or cultivated animal cells instead of from livestock and fish. It includes old foods such as tofu and Vietnam's chay cooking, and new ones such as precision-fermented dairy proteins. The prologue explains the families and how each is made (Prologue, Lời mở đầu (Tiếng Việt)).

Is it the same as "fake meat" or "lab-grown meat"? No. Meat look-alikes are one small part, and cultivated ("lab-grown") meat an even smaller one. In Vietnam most of the opportunity is in ingredients sold to food makers, and in feed for fish, shrimp and livestock (Alt protein today, Plays).

Is it safe? Foods with a long history of safe use are regulated like any other food. Genuinely new foods need a safety assessment before sale in places such as the European Union and Singapore. Vietnam has no procedure for new foods yet, which is one of the main gaps the report identifies (Rules).

Is it genetically modified? Most is not. Proteins made by engineered microbes (precision fermentation) probably count as products of a genetically modified organism under a January 2026 decree, even when the final protein is purified. The GMO label applies only when such ingredients make up more than 5% of the ingredients (Rules, Policy options).

Is it healthier than meat? It depends on the product and what it replaces. Some plant-based meats have less protein, zinc and vitamin B12 and more salt than the meat they copy; blends keep protein quality high. The prologue sets out both sides (Prologue).

Why does the report not recommend insect protein? Insect meal is already made in Vietnam for feed, so the report uses it as a benchmark that other feed proteins must match. Recommending insect plays is outside the report's scope (Technology fit).

About Vietnam

Why Vietnam? Vietnam is one of Asia's largest producers of pork, poultry, eggs, farmed fish and shrimp, and almost all of the plant protein that feeds them is imported. That makes alternative protein a question of food and feed security, industrial value and trade (Why Vietnam).

What is the best opportunity? Three plays lead under almost any weighting: a cassava-starch-to-sugar hub (T4, first or second under every weighting), domestic textured plant protein to replace Chinese imports (T1), and functional microbial feed ingredients for shrimp and pangasius (T2). Shared pilot fermentation (T5) is what most other fermentation plays need first (Plays).

Will Vietnamese consumers buy plant-based meat? They say yes more often than they buy. In an urban online survey 74% would choose plant-based meat at the same price as meat, but only 3% eat it weekly. Imported analogues cost 12 to 18 times as much per gram of protein as eggs and chicken. Plant milk, priced at or below dairy, is the one modern plant category at scale (Consumers).

How big is the market? We give no market forecast. On a benchmark path, the demand routes we describe add up to about 19,000 t of protein a year by 2035, of which about 11,000 to 17,000 t made in Vietnam for the home market, mostly replacing imported ingredients. That would displace about 0.2% of the meat protein Vietnam eats (Demand sizing).

Does chay make Vietnam a natural market? Chay is the incumbent, not a new market. Existing chay days already avoid about 2.5% of meat protein and are part of today's diet. The opening is upgrading chay foods, for example higher-protein products sold under retailers' own labels (Chay baseline).

What about cultivated meat in Vietnam? It is a research topic for this decade. Only a few countries have approved it, volumes everywhere are tiny, and modelled costs are several times the retail price of meat. Vietnam has no approval route (Technology fit, Frontier technology, S3. Regional).

What should the government do first? Four cheap steps: a clause on new foods in the Food Safety Law while the draft is revised between the October 2026 first reading and the vote considered in May 2027; a joint note on the GMO status of purified precision-fermented proteins; a raw-material section in the aquafeed list; and generic entries for microbial biomass in the livestock feed list. The larger outlays are a shared pilot fermentation line, public feed trials and a protein-quality laboratory (Policy options).

Is there money for this? Not much yet. One alternative-protein deal in Vietnam has exceeded USD 5 million: Entobel's USD 32.5 million insect-meal plant. Agritech venture capital in Vietnam was about USD 1 million in 2025. Only 4 of the original 19 demand moves have an outside funder whose rules fit and that works in Vietnam (Capital, Actor check).

Would domestic production make Vietnam self-sufficient? Not by itself. A domestic textured-protein plant would still run on imported soy flour, and Chinese and ASEAN protein ingredients enter duty-free, so the plant must compete on cost (Economics, Business buyers).

What happens by 2050? On trend, Vietnam's soybean-meal need rises from 7.2 Mt to about 10.4 Mt. Better feed efficiency would cut that about twice as much as alternative protein. We describe four possible worlds for 2050 and nine moves that pay off in all of them (Protein balance 2050, Scenarios 2050, Robust moves).

What would change the conclusions? For example: a Food Safety Law with no route for new foods, fishmeal falling back below about USD 1,800 a tonne, cheap delivered soy flour, or a tested Vietnamese study showing repeat purchases of a blend or analogue at a premium over meat. The full list is at the end of the Summary.

Using the report

Where should I start? Two minutes: In two minutes. Fifteen minutes: Summary (Vietnamese: Tóm tắt (Tiếng Việt), 17 minutes). New to the field: Prologue. For your role: the six briefs listed on the Home.

What do codes such as T1, PO-001, DMV-05 or S-ALT mean? They are plays, policy options, demand moves and scenarios. How to read has a table that decodes every code family.

What changed from earlier drafts? Earlier drafts were numbered editions 1.0 to 1.4; they are now versions 0.1 to 0.5. This version reorders the report and changes no finding. See M5. Changelog.