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DataNew in edition 1.1

learning_rates.csv

Empirical learning rates in fermentation and analogue industries, and our ranges for alternative protein in Vietnam.

Columns
ColumnMeaning
record_idStable row ID assigned by the consolidation step (prefix LRN plus row number in the stream's row order).
industry_or_technologyIndustry, product or technology.
learning_rate_pctLearning rate: percentage cost fall for each doubling of cumulative output.
periodPeriod the rate was measured over, or the horizon of our estimate.
metricCost measure the rate applies to.
source_idsSource IDs (see sources.csv) supporting the row, separated by semicolons. Free text such as "QNT model" or "our calculation" marks our own work.
evidence_labelVN-direct (evidence about Vietnam), VN-adjacent (comparable country, transfer assumed) or general. Some rows give a label per part of the row.
confidenceHigh (primary source read), Medium (reputable secondary or primary read in part) or Low (single claim, press, company marketing, or derived by us from weak inputs).
foresight_typeForesight type from the futures protocol: trend, projection, estimate, signal, wildcard or vision; "projection (official target)" marks a government target.
horizon_yearYear or years the value or statement refers to.
notesFree-text notes from the research agent.

record_idindustry_or_technologylearning_rate_pctperiodmetricsource_idsevidence_labelconfidenceforesight_typehorizon_yearnotes