Draft.This report is a draft and subject to change.
  1. Home
  2. Data

DataNew in edition 1.1

scenarios_2050.csv

The four 2050 scenarios of chapter 18 (two axes: import stress and Asia's fermentation market), with picture, indicative soybean-meal and microbial-protein ranges, hubs, link to the 2035 scenarios and signposts (our estimate). (Synthesis file, built by the lead author.)

Columns
ColumnMeaning
scenario_idSC-A to SC-D.
nameScenario name in English.
name_viScenario name in Vietnamese.
axis_import_stressbenign or chronic.
axis_fermentation_marketopen or Chinese price dominance.
picture_2050Narrative of the world in 2050.
soybean_meal_need_2050_mt_indicativeIndicative 2050 soybean-meal need, mapped to chapter 17 model scenarios (not a model run).
microbial_feed_protein_share_2050_indicativeIndicative microbial share of high-protein feed protein.
where_vietnam_competesPlays and products that do well.
where_vietnam_losesPlays and products that struggle.
hubs_active_2050Candidate hubs active in this world.
grows_from_2035_scenarioLink to the chapter 13 scenarios S1 to S3.
early_signpostsSignposts that would show this world is unfolding.
what_vietnam_decidesWhat Vietnam's own choices change within this world.
foresight_typeAlways estimate.
evidence_labelEvidence label.
confidenceConfidence.
source_idsMain supporting source IDs.
notesNotes.

scenario_idnamename_viaxis_import_stressaxis_fermentation_marketpicture_2050soybean_meal_need_2050_mt_indicativemicrobial_feed_protein_share_2050_indicativewhere_vietnam_competeswhere_vietnam_loseshubs_active_2050grows_from_2035_scenarioearly_signpostswhat_vietnam_decidesforesight_typeevidence_labelconfidencesource_idsnotes