Phụ lục N
N. Regional comparators and approvals
How Vietnam compares with Singapore, Thailand, Korea, China and other neighbours on novel-food rules, approvals, strategies, open pilot plants and trade, with the full GFI APAC x Hawkwood 'Where to Build' scores and our critique of them.
Nội dung trang này bằng tiếng Anh. Đọc bản tóm tắt tiếng Việt
Trong trang này
- N.1 Summary
- N.2 Novel-food frameworks, country by country
- N.3 Approvals to date
- N.4 National strategies and public funding
- N.5 Pilot and contract manufacturing facilities open to third parties
- N.6 Regional corporates and their Vietnam links
- N.7 Trade flows Vietnam depends on
- N.8 The GFI APAC x Hawkwood "Where to Build" study (October 2025)
- N.9 Lessons from Singapore, Thailand and Korea
- Gaps and how to close them
- Related data files
This appendix holds the regional detail behind Region. It compares Vietnam with nine other jurisdictions on novel-food rules, approvals, public money, open pilot plants and corporate activity. It sets out the trade flows Vietnam depends on, and it reads the GFI APAC x Hawkwood Biotech "Where to Build" study in full, with our critique. It ends with lessons from how Singapore, Thailand and Korea built their frameworks.
N.1 Summary
- Vietnam has no novel-food framework and no approvals. The GFI APAC x Hawkwood study scores its regulatory readiness at 0 out of 100 1 .
- Singapore has approved 18 novel foods, including the world's first cultivated duck and beef 2 . It has also stepped back from producing alternative protein itself 3 .
- The US FDA completed its review of Wildtype's cultivated coho salmon on 28 May 2025, the first cultivated seafood cleared in the US 4 .
- Outside Singapore, no Asian regulator had approved cultivated meat by September 2026, even where a route exists 5,6,7 .
- Vietnam's cost advantage is real but acts on a small share of cost, and Indonesia matches or beats it on every cost factor in the study 1 .
- Vietnam ships its fermentable carbohydrate to China as starch, not as fermentation-ready glucose 8,9 .
- Thailand is responding directly to the same ranking with a 10-year biotechnology framework that names alternative protein 10 .
N.2 Novel-food frameworks, country by country
From countries.csv. "PF" is precision fermentation. The Hawkwood regulatory score is 100 for novel-food guidance plus an approved fermentation-derived ingredient, 50 for a framework without such an approval, and 0 for no framework or guidance 1 .
| Country | Framework (authority) | PF | Biomass | Cultivated | Published timeline or fee | Sandbox or zone | Hawkwood regulatory score | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore | Novel-food pre-market approval since 2019; codified under the Food Safety and Security Act, with novel-food provisions in force from 28 Nov 2025 (Singapore Food Agency, SFA) | Yes | Yes | Yes | About 9 to 12 months after a complete dossier (secondary); fee not on the SFA page | No formal sandbox; the FRESH hub helps firms prepare dossiers | 100 | 11,12,13,1 |
| Thailand | Thai FDA novel-food rules (Ministry of Public Health Notification No. 376, 2016); BIOTEC designated safety assessment unit for cultivated meat; draft cultivated framework sent to Thai FDA in Jan 2024 | Yes | Yes | Dossiers accepted; framework still maturing | Not found | A proposed sandbox for functional claims | 50 | 14,15,6,1 |
| Malaysia | Novel-food provision in the Food Regulations 1985 (Regulation 3A, per GFI), administered by the Ministry of Health Food Safety and Quality Division; no cultivated guidance | Yes (per GFI) | Yes (per GFI) | No | Not found | None found | 0 | 15,1 |
| Indonesia | No novel-food category; alternative proteins handled as food ingredients (BPOM) | As ingredient | As ingredient | Under development | Not found | None found | 0 | 15,1 |
| Philippines | No framework or guidance found | No | No | No | n/a | None | 0 | 1 |
| China | New food raw material approvals (National Health Commission, with the China National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment); a process for GM-microbe ingredients formalised in 2024 (secondary); cultivated framework expected "as soon as late 2026" | Case by case | Yes | Not yet | Not found | Regional pilot zones (Shanghai 20-point plan, Guangdong hub) | not scored | 16,17,18 |
| South Korea | Temporary standards for new food ingredients, including cell and microbial culture (Ministry of Food and Drug Safety, MFDS); applications open since Feb 2024; Food Tech Industry Promotion Act in force Dec 2025 | Yes | Yes | Yes | KRW 45 million fee; review up to 270 working days (secondary, Feb 2024) | Gyeongbuk regulation-free special zone for cell-cultured food (R&D and demonstration, no sales) | 50 | 15,5,19,1 |
| Japan | Food Sanitation Act; Consumer Affairs Agency (food standards since Apr 2024) with the Food Safety Commission; draft cultivated safety checkpoints presented 28 May 2026 | Case by case | Case by case | Guidance in draft | Not found | None | 50 | 7,15,1 |
| India | Food Safety and Standards (Approval of Non-Specified Food and Food Ingredients) Regulations 2017 (FSSAI) | Yes | Yes | Not addressed | Not checked | Not checked | not scored | 12 |
| Australia and New Zealand | Food Standards Code novel-food standards, plus cell-cultured food provisions added in 2025 (FSANZ) | Yes | General rules | Yes | "At least 14 months" (secondary) | None | 100 | 12,20,1 |
| Vietnam | No novel-food category (Law on Food Safety 55/2010; Decree 15/2018 self-declaration or registration) | No | No | No | n/a | No national sandbox; Hanoi's sandbox lists biotechnology | 0 | 1,21,22 |
For Vietnam's own rules in detail, see G. Regulation.
N.3 Approvals to date
N.3.1 Singapore: 18 approvals on the list dated 14 August 2026
Dates are the SFA "date allowed to be used as food" 2 .
| ID | Date | Company | Product | Category |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR-001 | 21 May 2019 | Triton Algae Innovations | Chlamydomonas reinhardtii THN6 (green) algae biomass | Microalgae |
| APR-002 | 26 Nov 2020 | Eat Just | Cultured chicken cells | Cultivated |
| APR-003 | 6 Aug 2021 | Nature's Fynd | Mycelial biomass, Fusarium strain flavolapis | Biomass |
| APR-004 | 29 Sep 2022 | Solar Foods | Protein powder from Xanthobacter sp. SOF1 (Solein) | Biomass (gas fermentation) |
| APR-005 | 19 Oct 2022 | Triton Algae Innovations | Chlamydomonas reinhardtii TAI114 (red) algae biomass | Microalgae |
| APR-006 | 11 Jan 2023 | Eat Just | Cultured chicken cells, serum-free media | Cultivated |
| APR-007 | 20 Feb 2023 | Remilk | Animal-free beta-lactoglobulin (Komagataella phaffii) | PF |
| APR-008 | 14 Mar 2024 | The Protein Brewery | Fungal biomass, Rhizomucor pusillus (Fermotein) | Biomass |
| APR-009 | 22 Mar 2024 | Vow | Cultured Japanese quail fibroblasts | Cultivated |
| APR-010 | 15 Oct 2024 | The Better Meat Co | Mycoprotein, Neurospora crassa (Rhiza) | Biomass |
| APR-011 | 13 Mar 2025 | Amazentis | Urolithin A | Chemical synthesis |
| APR-012 | 18 Jun 2025 | Chr. Hansen | 3'-sialyllactose sodium salt (GM E. coli) | PF |
| APR-013 | 18 Jun 2025 | Chr. Hansen | 6'-sialyllactose sodium salt (GM E. coli) | PF |
| APR-014 | 24 Sep 2025 | Infinite Roots | Mycelium biomass, Pleurotus pulmonarius | Biomass |
| APR-015 | 17 Oct 2025 | Vital Meat (Parima group) | Cultivated chicken biomass (embryonic stem cells) | Cultivated |
| APR-016 | 10 Apr 2026 | Supreme SAS (Parima group) | Cultured duck (embryonic stem cells) | Cultivated |
| APR-017 | 27 Apr 2026 | Ultimeat | Mycoprotein, Neurospora crassa (Noushroom) | Biomass |
| APR-018 | 22 Jul 2026 | Aleph Farms | Cultivated thin-cut steak (bovine cells in a plant-protein base) | Cultivated |
By category: 6 cultivated, 6 fungal or bacterial biomass, 3 precision-fermented, 2 microalgae and 1 synthetic compound 2 .
Notes:
- Aleph Farms' beef is dated 22 July 2026 on the SFA list and was announced on 4 August 2026. We treat the SFA date as the approval date (DG-071) 2,23 . The product is 10 to 20% cultivated cells in a plant-protein base, with a foodservice launch targeted for the first half of 2027, produced with Cell AgriTech 24,25 .
- Some press describes Solein as precision fermentation. It is gas-fermented bacterial biomass (DG-074) 2,26 .
- No Wolffia (Mankai), duckweed or insect entry is on the list. Insects are handled under a separate SFA framework. Some GM-microbe ingredients may sit on SFA's separate GM food list, which we did not check 2 .
N.3.2 Other jurisdictions
| ID | Date | Country | Company | Product | Regulator and form | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR-019 | 16 Nov 2022 | United States | UPSIDE Foods | Cultured chicken cells | FDA pre-market consultation completed ("no questions" letter); USDA-FSIS inspection also needed for meat and poultry | 4 |
| APR-020 | 20 Mar 2023 | United States | GOOD Meat | Cultured chicken cells | As above | 4 |
| APR-021 | 7 Mar 2025 | United States | Mission Barns | Cultured pork fat cells | As above | 4 |
| APR-022 | 28 May 2025 | United States | Wildtype | Cultured coho salmon cells (Oncorhynchus kisutch) | FDA inventory CCC 005; seafood is FDA-only; first cultivated seafood cleared in the US | 4 |
| APR-023 | 24 Jul 2025 | United States | Believer Meats | Cultured chicken cells | As APR-019 | 4 |
| APR-024 | 7 Apr 2025 | Australia and New Zealand | Vow | Cultured quail | FSANZ approval; Food Standards Code change in force about June 2025 (DG-078) | 20,18 |
| APR-025 | Dec 2023 or Jan 2024 | Israel | Aleph Farms | Cultivated beef | Ministry of Health novel-food approval (reference only) | 20,23 |
| APR-026 | 5 Dec 2024 (filed) | Thailand | Aleph Farms | Cultivated beef | Application only, not approved as of Sep 2026; BIOTEC is the safety assessment unit (DG-072) | 6 |
| APR-027 | 2025 (date not verified) | China | Fushine Biotech | Fusarium venenatum mycoprotein | National Health Commission new food raw material approval | 18,16 |
| APR-028 | Not verified | China | Angel Yeast | Yeast protein | New food raw material approval (per GFI report) | 16 |
| APR-029 | Not verified | India | Perfect Day; Nature's Fynd; Reliance; others | Whey protein (PF); fungal protein; algae ingredient; mycoprotein | FSSAI non-specified food approvals (dates and products not checked) | 12 |
| APR-030 | Dec 2025 | Malaysia | n/a (national fatwa) | Cultivated meat (category) | Ruling that cultivated meat can be halal under conditions; not a food-safety approval; the first Muslim-majority country to do so | 18,5 |
| APR-031 | None as of Sep 2026 | South Korea | Applications reported | Cultivated meat | MFDS route open since Feb 2024; no approval found | 5,19,27 |
| APR-032 | None as of Sep 2026 | Japan | n/a | Cultivated meat | Draft safety checkpoints 28 May 2026 | 7 |
| APR-033 | None | Vietnam | n/a | n/a | No novel-food route | 1 |
We found no novel-protein approval in Thailand, Korea, Japan, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines or Vietnam as of September 2026 15,5,7 . Singapore's own Islamic authority has also set out a halal path for cultivated meat 28 .
Reading. Having a framework does not by itself make approvals fast. Korea opened applications in February 2024 and Thailand received its first dossier in December 2024; neither had approved cultivated meat by September 2026 5,6,19 . Singapore's first cultivated approval is dated 26 November 2020 on the SFA list, the year after its novel-food framework was set up in 2019 2,11 .
N.4 National strategies and public funding
Amounts are as found and in different currencies and years; they are not comparable and must not be added (DG-079).
| Country | Strategy or instrument | Money as found | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Singapore | Singapore Food Story (2019). In November 2025, Singapore Food Story 2 dropped the "30 by 30" goal; the new 2035 local production targets (20% of fibre, 30% of protein, meaning eggs and seafood) exclude alternative protein "given the nascency of the sector" | S$144 million R&D programme (from 2019); S$165 million "Food Story 2.0" research programme (per GFI); S$42 million to 11 future food projects (2025) | 3,29,15,30 |
| Thailand | Bio-Circular-Green (BCG) model; Biotechnology Industry Development Framework 2026 to 2035 (NXPO, November 2025): 1 trillion baht added to GDP; synthetic biology 3% of GDP by 2035; 7,000 high-skill jobs; a GMP precision-fermentation pilot plant; a contract manufacturing network; positive lists for future food ingredients; "future food and alternative proteins" is one of four target sub-industries. The framework cites the GFI APAC x Hawkwood study | 500 million baht a year for 10 years for synthetic biology research | 10 |
| Malaysia | National Biotechnology Policy 2.0 (2022 to 2030), naming cultivated meat and fish; National Food Security Policy | Not found | 15 |
| Indonesia | Making Indonesia 4.0 | Not found | 15 |
| China | MARA 2021 plan for reducing and replacing corn and soybean meal in feed names single-cell protein; cultivated meat in the 14th Five-Year agriculture plan; preparatory text for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026 to 2030): "actively develop synthetic biology and prudently advance the industrialisation of new types of food"; Shanghai 20-point novel-food plan | About USD 1 billion from SDIC into biotech facilities (2025, per GFI); USD 3.1 million MOST green biomanufacturing R&D (2021) | 16,27,31,30 |
| South Korea | Food Tech Industry Promotion Act (in force December 2025; agriculture ministry lead); Gyeongbuk special zone; Uiseong cultivated-meat research centre (2027) | KRW 14.5 billion (about USD 10 million) Uiseong centre; USD 70.3 million fund of funds (2021), including a USD 13.5 million Green Bio Fund | 15,5,30 |
| Japan | Basic Plan for Food, Agriculture and Rural Areas (April 2025); Integrated Innovation Strategy 2025 (microbial food); agriculture ministry microbial protein demonstration projects since FY2023 | Not found (USD 2.2 million to IntegriCulture in 2020) | 15,30 |
| Australia | Future Protein Mission (CSIRO); plant protein processing support | AU$150 million across three CSIRO missions (2021); AU$113 million for plant protein plants in South Australia (2022) | 30 |
| Vietnam | Resolution 36-NQ/TW (2023) on biotechnology. Incentives cited by Hawkwood: cash support up to 10% of new fixed assets, 10% corporate income tax for 15 years, a 4-year tax holiday plus 9 years at 50% | No alternative-protein funding line found | 1,32 |
The "Greater Food Approach" (drawing "calories and protein from plant, animal, and microbial sources") appears in the GFI China report as a paraphrase of a 2022 speech; we could not confirm it from a primary source 16 .
N.5 Pilot and contract manufacturing facilities open to third parties
From facilities_regional.csv (16 rows). "Food grade" means a food manufacturing licence or equivalent was found.
| ID | Facility | Country | Type | Capacity | Food grade | Open to third parties | Status in 2026 | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FR-001 | ScaleUp Bio commercial pilot plant (LOGOS Food21, Tuas) | Singapore | Precision and biomass fermentation contract manufacturer | Up to 10,000 L plus downstream (2024 figures) | Yes: SFA food manufacturing licence, May 2024 | Yes, including foreign clients | In March 2026 Fusionopolis Ventures (a subsidiary of state investor EDIS) joined ADM as shareholder; operations "consolidated" in Tuas; scope widened to pharma, cosmetics, chemicals and energy | 33,34,35,36 |
| FR-002 | ScaleUp Bio and A*STAR SIFBI joint lab (Biopolis) | Singapore | Process development | Up to 100 L | Claimed | Yes | Operating | 36,37 |
| FR-003 | Esco Aster | Singapore | Cell culture contract manufacturer | 50,000 L target announced in 2021 (claim, not verified as built) | Yes: SFA licence for cultured animal cells (July 2021) | Yes | 2025 to 2026 news is almost all cell therapy | 38,39 |
| FR-004 | Cell AgriTech | Singapore and Penang (Malaysia) | Cultivated meat and seafood contract manufacturer | Not disclosed | Not verified | Yes (Aleph Farms agreement, January 2026) | Producing initial volumes for Aleph Farms | 24,25 |
| FR-005 | EECi Biorefinery Pilot Plant (Wangchan, Rayong) | Thailand | Biorefinery and fermentation pilot plant | 12 fermenters, including 2 x 15,000 L, with full downstream processing | Not stated | Yes: process development, scale-up, contract manufacturing, technology transfer | Operating | 40 |
| FR-006 | Food Innopolis food pilot plant (Pathum Thani) | Thailand | Food processing pilot plant, Future Food Lab | Not stated | Not stated | Services offered; foreign access not stated | Operating | 41 |
| FR-007 | Thai GMP precision-fermentation pilot plant | Thailand | Shared national pilot plant and contract manufacturing network | Not stated | Planned GMP | Planned | Planned under the 2026 to 2035 framework | 10 |
| FR-008 | BBGI biotechnology plant (with Fermbox Bio) | Thailand | Synthetic biology and precision fermentation, linked to Aleph Farms' Thai plans | Not verified | Not verified | Was to serve partners | A stock exchange notice dated 22 Sep 2026 is titled "Notification of the Termination of the Biotechnology Plant Construction Project"; content not read | 42 |
| FR-009 | Angel Yeast yeast protein plant (Yichang) | China | Yeast protein | More than 11,000 t/yr; second plant to 20,000 t (GFI report) or 30,000+ t (GFI article) | Yes (approved yeast protein, per GFI) | Own products; not a contract manufacturer | Operating | 16,17 |
| FR-010 | Fushine Biotech mycoprotein plant (Jingdezhen) | China | Mycoprotein and contract manufacturing | 1,200 t/yr expanding to 20,000 t/yr | Yes (mycoprotein approval) | Yes | Expanding | 43,16 |
| FR-011 | More Meat and Guangzhou Shuangqiao mycoprotein joint venture (Guangzhou) | China | Mycoprotein | 20,000 t/yr | Not verified | Not stated | First commercial runs June 2026 | 16 |
| FR-012 | Cabio Biotech (Wuhan) | China | Fermentation (fats and oils) partner | "Capacity to formulate 170,000 t of finished products" (claim) | Yes | Yes (Nourish Ingredients, Australia) | Operating | 43,16 |
| FR-013 | JSPC (Jiangshan Pharmaceutical) | China | Pharma contract manufacturer repurposed for food (microalgae protein) | Not disclosed | Not verified | Yes (Nutrition from Water, Portugal: technology transfer December 2025, commercial run May 2026) | Operating | 16 |
| FR-014 | Uiseong cultivated-meat research centre (Gyeongbuk) | South Korea | Shared scale-up and regulatory support centre | 2,660 m2; KRW 14.5 billion | Planned | Planned for industry use | Opening expected 2027 | 15,5 |
| FR-015 | Vow production line | Australia (location not verified) | Cultivated meat | 22,000 L line, described as the largest food-grade cell culture bioreactor (claim) | Claimed | Used for Parima runs (per GFI) | Operating | 28 |
| FR-016 | Liberation Bioindustries (Richmond, Indiana) | United States | Precision-fermentation contract manufacturer | Not stated on the website (earlier public figure of about 600,000 L not verified) | Intended food grade | Yes | Rebranded June 2025; open to customer enquiries | 44 |
Further points:
- ScaleUp Bio's 2024 clients included Nourish Ingredients (Australia), C16 Biosciences (US), Ultimeat (Malaysia), Allium Bio, Allozymes and Algrow Biosciences (Singapore) 36,37 . Whether Nurasa (Temasek), its original joint-venture partner, has exited is not confirmed 34 .
- Typical Chinese contract terms: the client keeps its strain and operating procedures, while the manufacturer may own process improvements; clients are expected to visit monthly or keep staff on site. One client said scale-up elsewhere would have taken "two times as long and double the cost" 16 .
- No Vietnamese facility publicly offers food-grade pilot fermentation to outside firms (see L. Labs and talent) 45,46 .
For a Vietnamese startup today the realistic contract manufacturing options are ScaleUp Bio (food-licensed, 10,000 L), EECi in Thailand (larger tanks, food status to confirm) and Chinese pharma contract manufacturers (largest and cheapest, with the most IP exposure). Singapore's shift away from local food production makes ScaleUp Bio's widened, non-food focus a risk to watch. This is our assessment.
N.6 Regional corporates and their Vietnam links
Only items with a source read in this study are shown.
| Company | Alternative-protein activity found | Vietnam link found | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thai Union | Investor in Aleph Farms since 2021 | Owns the Vietnamese seafood canner Yueh Chyang Canned Food (majority stake since 2008) | 6,47 |
| Ajinomoto | Partner of Solar Foods; launched Solein-based products (coffee drinks October 2025; pastries in Singapore December 2025) | Ajinomoto Vietnam makes MSG and seasonings and sells feed ingredients | 48,49 |
| Angel Yeast | More than 11,000 t/yr yeast protein, expanding | Not established in this study | 16 |
| CJ CheilJedang, Daesang, Pulmuone, Nongshim | Korean food majors partnering with alternative-protein startups; CJ and Daesang developing cultivated meat (2024) | CJ Cau Tre makes đồ chay (traditional vegetarian) products in Vietnam (lead, not checked) | 15,19 |
| Royal De Heus | Feed group | Bought CJ Feed & Care (announced 1 Oct 2025, completed 3 Mar 2026): 17 feed mills across five countries, not 17 in Vietnam. De Heus Vietnam lists 21 plants | 50,51,52 |
| Skretting (Nutreco) | Partnership with Entobel (26 Nov 2025) for what the company calls the first commercial insect-meal shrimp feed in Vietnam | Skretting Vietnam | 53 |
| Calysseo (Adisseo and Calysta) | 20,000 t/yr FeedKind methanotroph SCP plant in Chongqing; stated ambition for 100,000 t in Saudi Arabia | No Vietnamese distributor or trial found | 54 |
| V-Group / CK Vietnam | Imports a Chinese bacterial biomass from glutamic-acid fermentation (at least 70% crude protein) for Vietnamese feed | Importer and distributor in Vietnam | 55 |
| BBGI (Bangchak group) | Synthetic biology plant with Fermbox Bio; termination notice 22 Sep 2026 | None | 42 |
| Guangzhou Shuangqiao | Starch-sugar maker in a 20,000 t/yr mycoprotein joint venture | Possible buyer of Vietnamese cassava starch (not established) | 16 |
Not verified in this study: C.P. Vietnam's alternative-protein links, Wilmar, ofi, Japfa, Sojitz, Fuji Oil, and the capacities of Chinese methanol, ethanol and gas-based SCP makers. Chinese gas-fermentation protein (Clostridium autoethanogenum protein) from steel-mill off-gas is in commercial feed trials 56 .
N.7 Trade flows Vietnam depends on
N.7.1 Imports of food-protein ingredients are small
From trade_flows.csv. Vietnam-reported tonnages are WITS estimates (every partner shows the same unit value), so we quote values and use China's mirror data for tonnage 57,58 .
| ID | Flow | Product (HS) | Year | Volume | Value | Main partners | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TF-001 | Import (Vietnam-reported) | Peptones and other protein substances, including soy protein isolate (3504) | 2023 | 2,421 t (WITS estimate) | USD 22.2 million | China 45% (USD 10.1 million); US USD 3.4 million; Spain USD 2.6 million; Japan USD 1.7 million; Singapore USD 1.3 million | 57 |
| TF-002 | Import (Vietnam-reported) | Protein concentrates and textured protein substances (2106.10) | 2023 | 5,763 t (WITS estimate) | USD 34.0 million | US 46% (USD 15.6 million); China 27% (USD 9.1 million); "Other Asia" (probably Taiwan) USD 5.6 million; India USD 1.6 million | 58 |
| TF-003 | Import (China mirror) | 3504 from China | 2023 | 10,028 t | USD 16.3 million | China | 59 |
| TF-004 | Import (China mirror) | 3504 from China | 2024 | 25,267 t | USD 25.9 million | China (Vietnam was China's 9th market) | 60 |
| TF-005 | Import (China mirror) | 2106.10 from China | 2023 | 7,957 t | USD 12.6 million | China | 61 |
| TF-006 | Import (China mirror) | 2106.10 from China | 2024 | 10,029 t | USD 13.2 million | China | 62 |
| TF-007 | Import | Pea protein | n/a | Not separable (no separate HS code) | Not separable | n/a | 57,58 |
- Combined, Vietnam-reported imports under HS 3504 and 2106.10 were about USD 56 million in 2023 (our sum) 57,58 . Vietnam also imported USD 31 million of wheat gluten in 2023, 59% from China 63 .
- China-reported unit values of USD 1.0 to 1.6/kg for HS 3504 are far below soy protein isolate prices, so much of this trade is probably feed-grade protein substances. The two data sets also disagree on value (USD 10.1 million vs USD 16.3 million from China for HS 3504 in 2023) for reasons we could not establish (DG-075) 60,59 .
- These food-ingredient imports are tiny next to feed protein imports: in 2025 Vietnam imported 2.61 Mt of soybeans (98.4% of supply) and 5.70 Mt of soybean meal, and about 99% of the soy protein in Vietnamese feed is imported 64,65 .
N.7.2 Exports that already feed China's bio-industries are large
| ID | Flow | Product (HS) | Year | Volume | Value | Partners | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TF-008 | Export (Vietnam-reported) | Cassava starch (1108.14) | 2023 | 2.15 Mt | USD 1,063 million | China 93.5% (USD 994.6 million, 2.02 Mt); Taiwan USD 26.5 million; Philippines USD 9.1 million; Malaysia USD 6.9 million | 66 |
| TF-009 | Export (China mirror) | Cassava starch imported by China from Vietnam | 2024 | 1.56 Mt | USD 757 million | Vietnam was 39% of China's import value; Thailand 49%; Laos 10% | 8 |
| TF-010 | Export (China mirror) | Dried cassava (0714.10) imported by China from Vietnam | 2024 | 412 kt | USD 104 million | Thailand supplies 82% of China's value | 67 |
| TF-011 | Export (China mirror) | Dextrins and modified starches (3505.10) imported by China from Vietnam | 2024 | 179 kt | USD 114 million | Vietnam 21% of China's import value | 68 |
| TF-012 | Export (China mirror) | Glucose and glucose syrup (1702.30) imported by China from Vietnam | 2024 | 175 t | USD 0.16 million | China | 9 |
- Vietnam's cassava starch sells at about USD 0.49/kg (2023, Vietnam-reported unit value) 66 .
- The glucose gap. China imported USD 114 million of modified starch and USD 104 million of dried cassava from Vietnam in 2024, but only USD 0.16 million of glucose. The step that turns starch into glucose for fermentation happens in China. Keeping that step in Vietnam is the practical way for Vietnam to plug into regional biomanufacturing 67,68,9 . The interpretation is ours.
- The 2023 Vietnam-reported and 2024 China-reported starch figures are different years and reporters; we do not average them.
- Vietnam is also a net exporter of fishmeal, mostly to China: USD 430 million out (93.5% to China) against USD 260 million in (49% from India) in 2023 69,70 .
N.8 The GFI APAC x Hawkwood "Where to Build" study (October 2025)
N.8.1 What the study is
- Authors and title. Jennifer Morton and Dean Powell (GFI APAC) and Tony Day (Hawkwood Biotech), "Where to Build: site selection and competitiveness in APAC fermentation manufacturing", October 2025. A companion GFI article names Thailand, Vietnam and Australia as the "three APAC countries with the right ingredients" 1,71 .
- Countries. Australia, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Thailand and Vietnam 1 .
- Drivers scored. Feedstock (sugar), capex, utilities, labour, talent, business environment and regulatory readiness, plus incentives. The text says incentives and feedstock cost "emerged as the two most critical drivers" 1 .
- Assumptions 1 :
- Representative plants of 80,000 t/yr (submerged biomass) and 10,000 t/yr (precision fermentation), modelled at a US Midwest site on corn glucose "due to limitations in data and modelling capacity".
- Sugar index: 2024 exports (double-weighted), production and import reliance.
- Talent: engineering, manufacturing and construction graduates, vocational enrolment, and R&D researchers per million people.
- Business environment: the World Bank Ease of Doing Business index (2021 data vintage per the table header), which was discontinued in 2021.
- Regulatory readiness: as in section N.2.
- Scores are min-max within the nine countries, from 0 to 100, with 100 best 1 .
N.8.2 Vietnam's inputs and scores
| Dimension | Vietnam input | Vietnam index (0 to 100) | Best in region |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar capability | 2024 production 1,350 kt; exports 0; imports 110 kt | 26 | Thailand 100 |
| Construction cost | USD 1,672/m2 | 93 | Indonesia 100 |
| Utilities | USD 0.08/kWh; water USD 0.31 per 15 m3 a month | 97 | Indonesia 99 (highest printed) |
| Labour | USD 342/month manufacturing wage | 100 | Vietnam and Indonesia (USD 350) 100 |
| Talent | Engineering, manufacturing and construction graduates 20%; vocational 25%; 779 researchers per million | 26 | Korea 68 |
| Business environment | World Bank Ease of Doing Business about 70 | 30 | Singapore 100 |
| Regulatory readiness | No framework, no approvals | 0 | Singapore and Australia 100 |
Source for the whole table: 1 . The study also claims Vietnam had "the region's highest sugar yield per hectare" in 2024; we did not verify this (DG-082).
N.8.3 All nine countries
Order: sugar, capex, utilities, labour, talent, business environment, regulation. The cost rows (study Figure 18) and enabling rows (Figure 21) were extracted verbatim in separate reads; an earlier machine read gave different sugar numbers for Indonesia and Australia, and we use the verbatim read (DG-081) 1 .
| Country | Sugar | Capex | Utilities | Labour | Talent | Business | Regulation | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vietnam | 26 | 93 | 97 | 100 | 26 | 30 | 0 | Wage USD 342/month |
| Thailand | 100 | 81 | 84 | 99 | 36 | 74 | 50 | Sugar production 10,040 kt, exports 5,300 kt; wage USD 431/month |
| Indonesia | 14 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 18 | 29 | 0 | Construction USD 1,487/m2; USD 0.07/kWh; wage USD 350; sugar imports 5,000 kt |
| Philippines | 31 | 94 | 75 | 97 | 17 | 0 | 0 | |
| Malaysia | 0 | 38 | 87 | 93 | 29 | 80 | 0 | See N.2 on the regulation score |
| Australia | 60 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 50 | 79 | 100 | |
| South Korea | 0 | 22 | 80 | 29 | 68 | 91 | 50 | |
| Japan | 11 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 49 | 65 | 50 | |
| Singapore | 0 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 55 | 100 | 100 |
Reading across: no country combines low cost with regulatory readiness. Thailand comes closest. Indonesia scores the same as or better than Vietnam on every cost factor 1 . We checked the business-environment index by arithmetic against World Bank Doing Business 2020 scores, and it matches.
N.8.4 Cost structure and incentives in the study
- In the study's own representative plant models, labour is 7% (biomass, 80,000 t/yr) and 17% (precision fermentation, 10,000 t/yr) of production cost, and utilities 4 to 5%. Depreciation (capital cost) is 37 to 56% 1 .
- The same report prints feedstock at 10% (biomass) and 18% (precision fermentation) in its representative model, and about 35 to 65% (biomass) and 30 to 45% (precision fermentation) across other TEAs. Both are in the report; for Vietnam the point stands either way: labour and utilities are a minor share (DG-076) 1 .
- Incentives. The highest return to government and the highest gain in company net present value both come from a 50% capex grant or non-dilutive funding (a reported NPV gain of USD 73 million). A 10% feedstock cost cut and a loan guarantee come next. Tax holidays rank near the bottom 1 .
N.8.5 What the study says about Vietnam
- Vietnam "presents one of the region's most cost-competitive environments" and "a potential first-mover opportunity" 1 .
- Obstacles: "constraints in feedstock supply, the absence of a clear regulatory pathway for novel foods, and limited experience with industrial-scale fermentation" 1 .
- Its three recommendations for Vietnam: "Operationalise Resolution 36 via funded programs with specific agency mandates"; "Clarify incentive eligibility criteria, timelines, and application processes for biomanufacturing sites"; "Publish regulatory procedures and statutory timelines for novel food approvals" 1 .
- It cites an unnamed "significant investment in a large-scale biomanufacturing facility" in Vietnam, with no reference 1 .
- A GFI APAC article summarises the study as citing Vietnam's incentives and bioeconomy strategy but also its feedstock limits and regulatory immaturity 72 .
N.8.6 Our adversarial critique
- It rewards Vietnam for what matters least. The index gives Vietnam top scores for wages and power, but the study's own cost model says labour and utilities together make up less than a quarter of cost; capital is 37 to 56% 1 . Cheap labour and power alone will not win projects.
- It measures the wrong carbohydrate. The feedstock index counts sugar only and scores Vietnam 26, ignoring cassava starch, Vietnam's real fermentable carbohydrate. Vietnam exported 2.15 Mt of cassava starch in 2023 1,66 . But the correction cuts both ways: that starch is already sold to China, and China imported only USD 0.16 million of glucose syrup from Vietnam in 2024 (section N.7.2).
- It scores the business environment with a discontinued index. The World Bank stopped the Ease of Doing Business series in 2021 1 .
- It gives no country-specific cost per kg. All plant costs are modelled at a US Midwest site on corn glucose 1 .
- The scores are relative ranks among nine countries. A score of 100 means "best of nine", not "good". They are not investment-grade cost estimates.
- Its regulation score for Malaysia conflicts with GFI's own State of Play (section N.2).
- Two claims about Vietnam are unsourced in the study: the unnamed large biomanufacturing investment and the "highest sugar yield per hectare".
What survives the critique: Vietnam is a low-cost site without a regulatory route, and the study's three recommendations (fund Resolution 36 with agency mandates, publish incentive criteria, publish a novel-food procedure with statutory timelines) match our own findings in G. Regulation.
N.9 Lessons from Singapore, Thailand and Korea
| Singapore | Thailand | South Korea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trigger | Food import dependence (over 90%); the "30 by 30" goal (2019); creation of SFA (2019); early applicants (Eat Just) | The BCG agenda; foreign applicant interest (Aleph Farms, via Thai Union); NSTDA scientific leadership | Industrial policy (K-food, food tech); a regional government push (a Gyeongbuk cluster memorandum with 28 signatories, 2023); conglomerate R&D |
| Who drafted | SFA, with FAO collaboration and memoranda with FSANZ, ANSES (France) and SAMR (China) | An NSTDA project team drafted from US and Singapore guidelines; expert and stakeholder meetings in August and November 2023; draft to Thai FDA in January 2024; BIOTEC made the safety assessment unit | MFDS amended an existing instrument (Food Sanitation Act Enforcement Rule, May 2023; temporary standards, February 2024); the National Assembly passed a promotion act (December 2024) |
| Time to first approval | Framework 2019; first cultivated approval dated 26 November 2020 on the SFA list | Application December 2024; no approval by September 2026 | Applications open February 2024; no approval by September 2026 |
| Distinctive tools | A public list of approvals with specifications and risk controls; pre-submission support (FRESH); codified in the FSSA 2025 | Designating an existing science agency (BIOTEC) as assessor | A published fee and review time; a special zone for demonstration; a separate promotion law |
Sources for the table: 2,15,6,19,13,20 .
What Vietnam could transfer (our assessment) 15,5,6,13 :
- Korea shows a route that does not need a new law. Add a "new food ingredient" safety assessment step inside an existing instrument (for Vietnam, the decree that will replace Decree 15/2018), with a published fee and a statutory review time. Korea took about nine months (May 2023 to February 2024).
- Thailand shows how to borrow assessors. Designate an existing technical body as the safety assessment unit instead of building a new agency. The National Institute for Food Control is one candidate (see G. Regulation and policy option PO-019).
- Singapore shows the value of transparency. Publishing each approval with its specification and risk controls lets later regulators rely on earlier assessments. Vietnam could accept or fast-track dossiers already approved by SFA, FSANZ or the US FDA.
- A framework is not enough. Thailand and Korea have routes but no cultivated approvals after 21 to 31 months. Staff capacity and review timelines matter as much as the legal text.
- Production and regulation can be separated. Singapore now acts as regulator, research hub and financier more than as a production base, which leaves room for lower-cost neighbours to host manufacturing 3,29 . Aleph Farms says it will use capacity in Penang to supply the region 24 .
Gaps and how to close them
| # | Gap | Cheapest way to close it |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | BBGI termination notice (22 Sep 2026): which plant, why, and does it affect Aleph Farms' Thai plans? | Read the SET filing or email BBGI investor relations |
| 2 | ScaleUp Bio in 2026: capacity, food share of work, pricing, ownership, willingness to take Vietnamese clients | Email ScaleUp Bio business development |
| 3 | EECi pilot plant: food-grade (GMP, HACCP) status, fees, foreign-client terms | Email the EECi pilot plant contacts |
| 4 | Korea: any cultivated or precision-fermented ingredient approved in 2026? | Check the MFDS temporary standards list or ask GFI Korea |
| 5 | Thailand: text of Notification 376, published timelines and fees, and the September 2025 approved list | Read the USDA GAIN Thailand FAIRS report or ask the Thai FDA |
| 6 | Malaysia: text of the novel-food provision and any approval list | Read the Ministry of Health novel-food guideline |
| 7 | China: approval dates for Fushine and Angel Yeast; feed ingredient certificates; capacities of gas and methanol SCP makers | GFI APAC China team; National Health Commission and agriculture ministry announcements |
| 8 | Vietnam's 2024 to 2025 imports of soy protein isolate, textured protein and pea protein at 8-digit level | Vietnam Customs statistics, or one call to a major importer |
| 9 | Hawkwood's unnamed Vietnamese biomanufacturing facility and its sugar data sources | Email the authors |
| 10 | Can a product made in Vietnam be sold in Singapore under an SFA approval? | SFA import and overseas-establishment rules for novel foods |
| 11 | Singapore fees and statutory timelines under the FSSA | Read the FSSA (Authorisations: Administration) Regulations 2025 |
| 12 | Do Chinese mycoprotein and yeast-protein plants use cassava starch? | GFI APAC China team; Guangzhou Shuangqiao disclosures |
| 13 | Could Vietnam join or observe the regional work on cultivated-meat safety, or an ASEAN reliance mechanism? | GFI APAC; the ASEAN Secretariat food safety unit |
Related data files
countries.csv: 11 country rows behind section N.2 and N.4.approvals.csv: the 33 approval rows in section N.3.facilities_regional.csv: the 16 facility rows in section N.5.trade_flows.csv: the 12 trade-flow rows in section N.7.disagreements.csv: DG-071 to DG-082 cover the regional conflicts cited here (see R. Disagreements).- Working paper:
working-papers/wave1/regional/regional.md.
Nguồn được trích dẫn trong trang
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